Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Turf Moor
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.51)
2.18 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | 17.8% | 70.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 1
12.8%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burnley | 0 | 5.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 14% | 64% |
| Defense | 21% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 31% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 56% | 71% | 64% | 6% | 25% | 16% |
BurnleyLWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLDDDLLWDLLDLLL
Manchester CityWLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWWWDDDLWDWWWWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 38 | 27 | 65 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 25 | 42 | 67 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burnley | Manchester City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 88% | 88% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 70% | 63% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 33% | 38% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burnley | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 17.4% | 82.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home23.00 @ Unibet
Draw10.00 @ Unibet
Away1.16 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.75 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ BetVictor
No1.80 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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