Mon, May 11 2026 • 19:00 •
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.51)
1.59 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 24.1% | 40.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tottenham | 0 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 71% |
| Defense | 50% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 12% | 39% | 26% | 44% | 12% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 28% | 29% | 28% | 47% | 37% |
| Loses | 59% | 33% | 46% | 28% | 41% | 34% |
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LeedsWLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWDDLLDDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 30 | 24 | 54 | 21 | 31 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tottenham | Leeds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 77% | 69% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 54% | 40% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 17% | 23% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 3% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tottenham | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 45.6% | 54.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.91 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ 1xBet
Away4.65 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Unibet
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League standings
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