Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • zondacrypto Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.65) 0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 33.2% 23.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 18.3% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack45%45%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Raków Częstochowa Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%50%43%58%18%39%
Draws27%8%17%17%18%17%
Loses36%42%39%25%64%43%

Form: Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWWWLWWLLDDWL • Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Raków Częstochowa Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
GF total11203124933
GF avg1.01.71.32.00.81.4
GA total111829161935
GA avg1.01.51.31.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%70%78%83%
1.535%39%39%43%
2.517%13%13%13%
3.59%4%9%9%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score336145

Penalties

MetricRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
Wins32
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-45-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-35-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricRaków CzęstochowaPogon Szczecin
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ SBO
Under 2.52.12 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Raków Częstochowa = 1.03 (league 1.65), Pogon Szczecin = 0.66 (league 1.21)

Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 18.3% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 23.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1