Ekstraklasa
— Poland
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 18:15 •
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.60)
1.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 26.1% | 42.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lech Poznan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 29% | 53% |
| Defense | 59% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 21% | 39% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Loses | 29% | 64% | 46% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Pogon SzczecinLWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDLDWWWLWLLW
Lech PoznanLWWDWLWDDWDDDLWDDLLWWWWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 12 | 38 | 32 | 17 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 82% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 14% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Unibet
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League standings
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