Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:15 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.73) 2.62 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 18.4% 45.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
1 1.9% 5.0% 6.5% 5.7% 3.7% 2.0%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwenteAjax
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack88%59%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente Ajax
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%80%0%44%
Draws25%20%22%0%100%44%
Loses25%40%33%20%0%11%

Form: Twente: LLWLDWWWD • Ajax: WDWDWDWDL

League goals

Metric Twente Ajax
HATHAT
GF total710179817
GF avg1.82.01.91.82.01.9
GA total77144812
GA avg1.81.41.60.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwenteAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%89%78%
1.567%44%78%44%
2.533%11%22%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwenteAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricTwenteAjax
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricTwenteAjax
Wins31
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-53-1—
Biggest losses0-21-00-2—
Goals For3533
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricTwenteAjax
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Twente or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Unibet
No2.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Twente = 2.08 (league 1.73), Ajax = 2.62 (league 1.37)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente 0 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
1 1.9% 5.0% 6.5% 5.7% 3.7% 2.0%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.8% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1