Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 19:00 • Philips Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
4.30 (league 1.73) 0.61 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.6% 4.4% 1.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
9.8%
5 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.0% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenHeracles
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack84%84%
Defense84%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Heracles
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins71%100%87%43%13%27%
Draws14%0%7%14%13%13%
Loses14%0%7%43%75%60%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WWWLWDWWWWWWWWW • Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDD

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Heracles
HATHAT
GF total22244618523
GF avg3.13.03.12.60.61.5
GA total10717181937
GA avg1.40.91.12.62.42.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenHeracles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%67%67%93%
1.587%40%27%73%
2.553%7%20%33%
3.540%0%13%27%
4.527%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenHeracles
HATHAT
Clean sheets145101
Failed to score101145

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenHeracles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenHeracles
Wins33
Draws10
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-58-21-2
Biggest losses0-2—0-74-0
Goals For6582
Goals Against2374

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenHeracles
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h93%7%
Goals84%16%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.13 @ 188Bet
Draw11.91 @ Pinnacle
Away22.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Betano
Under 2.54.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 4.30 (league 1.73), Heracles = 0.61 (league 1.37)

Heracles
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.0% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod5