Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.77) 0.40 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.4% 12.2% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZFC Eindhoven
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack43%14%
Defense57%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%29%17%23%
Draws0%29%15%14%17%15%
Loses67%43%54%57%67%62%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWW • FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Jong AZ FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total111021729
GF avg1.81.41.61.00.30.7
GA total111324121527
GA avg1.81.91.81.72.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZFC Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%46%69%
1.546%46%15%46%
2.531%38%8%38%
3.515%23%0%31%
4.50%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZFC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score224347

Penalties

MetricJong AZFC Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJong AZFC Eindhoven
Wins13
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses0-44-10-46-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricJong AZFC Eindhoven
Form88%13%
Att75%25%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total69.2%31.0%

Advice: Winner : Jong AZ

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 2.54 (league 1.77), FC Eindhoven = 0.40 (league 1.36)

FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1