Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.76) 2.50 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 18.8% 51.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 1.5% 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.7% 4.2% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZJong PSV U21
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack42%11%
Defense42%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins18%44%31%50%41%46%
Draws12%11%11%17%12%14%
Loses71%44%57%33%47%40%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLLDWWL • Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWLLWLWWLWLWDWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
GF total243559323163
GF avg1.41.91.71.81.81.8
GA total343771243559
GA avg2.02.12.01.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZJong PSV U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%86%83%80%
1.551%60%60%51%
2.531%34%31%23%
3.511%20%6%9%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZJong PSV U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets325527
Failed to score549336

Penalties

MetricJong AZJong PSV U21
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricJong AZJong PSV U21
Wins25
Draws13
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-02-4
Biggest losses0-45-00-34-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricJong AZJong PSV U21
Form70%30%
Att80%20%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Dafabet
Draw4.40 @ Dafabet
Away3.80 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Bet365
No3.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.67 (league 1.76), Jong PSV U21 = 2.50 (league 1.44)

Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 1.5% 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.7% 4.2% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 51.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1