HNL — Croatia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:45 • Stadion Gradski vrt
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.49) 1.56 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 24.4% 40.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack46%38%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vukovar HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins36%0%17%54%18%38%
Draws45%23%33%31%36%33%
Loses18%77%50%15%45%29%

Form: Vukovar: LLDDLLWLLDWDDLDLWLLLWDDL • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDWLLWDWWWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Vukovar HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total18826241236
GF avg1.60.61.11.81.11.5
GA total152843111425
GA avg1.42.21.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVukovarHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%71%71%
1.525%63%46%29%
2.58%21%21%4%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets213617
Failed to score156347

Penalties

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-23-2
Goals For3153
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Form42%58%
Att55%45%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away1.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vukovar = 1.40 (league 1.49), HNK Rijeka = 1.56 (league 0.99)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.3% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 40.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1