Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Beto Larrosa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.12) 1.15 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.8% 31.9% 52.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 0
19.3%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Pilar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacachispas 0 19.3% 22.2% 12.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.5% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacachispasReal Pilar
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack40%50%
Defense50%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacachispas Real Pilar
HATHAT
Played181836181735
Wins17%17%17%44%53%49%
Draws56%33%44%39%29%34%
Loses28%50%39%17%18%17%

Form: Sacachispas: DDLLDDLDDLWDLDLLLDLWDDLWWDDLWDDWDLLL • Real Pilar: WWWDLWDWDLDDWWLWDWWLDWDDWWDLLWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Sacachispas Real Pilar
HATHAT
GF total191029251641
GF avg1.10.60.81.40.91.2
GA total20193914923
GA avg1.11.11.10.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacachispasReal Pilar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%72%71%49%
1.517%25%31%14%
2.56%11%9%3%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacachispasReal Pilar
HATHAT
Clean sheets371081018
Failed to score411154610

Penalties

MetricSacachispasReal Pilar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total18

Streaks

MetricSacachispasReal Pilar
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-32-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSacachispasReal Pilar
Form27%73%
Att44%56%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Pilar and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.48 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacachispas = 0.49 (league 1.12), Real Pilar = 1.15 (league 0.86)

Real Pilar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacachispas 0 19.3% 22.2% 12.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.5% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1