Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:00 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.36) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 26.4% 53.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 10.3% 15.2% 11.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthWrexham
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack27%55%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Wrexham
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%17%23%29%33%31%
Draws14%50%31%43%33%38%
Loses57%33%46%29%33%31%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLL • Wrexham: LLDWLWDDDLWDW

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Wrexham
HATHAT
GF total641011819
GF avg0.90.70.81.61.31.5
GA total981712719
GA avg1.31.31.31.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthWrexham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%92%85%
1.58%46%38%46%
2.50%8%15%15%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthWrexham
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthWrexham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthWrexham
Wins11
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-20-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-32-1
Goals For2133
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthWrexham
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.79 (league 1.36), Wrexham = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Wrexham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 10.3% 15.2% 11.3% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 53.2%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1