Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • The Den
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.36) 1.67 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 23.9% 44.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 4.9% 8.3% 6.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.0% 9.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallDerby
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack77%62%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Derby
HATHAT
Played181735181735
Wins56%47%51%33%47%40%
Draws17%29%23%33%18%26%
Loses28%24%26%33%35%34%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWLWW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Millwall Derby
HATHAT
GF total262147242852
GF avg1.41.21.31.31.61.5
GA total211940242246
GA avg1.21.11.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%91%77%
1.540%31%37%31%
2.511%17%14%14%
3.53%6%3%6%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614448
Failed to score437123

Penalties

MetricMillwallDerby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMillwallDerby
Wins45
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-5
Biggest losses0-44-03-54-2
Goals For4235
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricMillwallDerby
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away4.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.34 (league 1.36), Derby = 1.67 (league 1.15)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 4.9% 8.3% 6.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.6% 11.0% 9.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 44.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1