Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 11:30 •
Pride Park
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 26.7% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Oxford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby | 0 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 19% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 52% | 43% |
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Oxford UnitedLLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLLDDWLLDLDLWWWDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 32 | 61 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 25 | 28 | 53 | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby | Oxford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 74% | 62% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 14% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Dafabet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ 10Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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