Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 18:45 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.39) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 29.0% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 10.9% 12.4% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityMillwall
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack25%38%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Millwall
HATHAT
Played212243222143
Wins43%27%35%55%48%51%
Draws29%18%23%14%33%23%
Loses29%55%42%32%19%26%
Stoke CityWWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLDLWWDLDLDLDWLLDWLWLDL
MillwallWLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWLWWWWLDWLDW

League goals

Metric Stoke City Millwall
HATHAT
GF total321749312758
GF avg1.50.81.11.41.31.3
GA total222648252247
GA avg1.01.21.11.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%70%81%60%
1.530%33%40%30%
2.516%7%12%14%
3.52%2%2%5%
4.52%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets671310717
Failed to score51116448

Penalties

MetricStoke CityMillwall
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStoke CityMillwall
Wins34
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-44-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityMillwall
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total31.5%68.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ BetVictor
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.30 @ Betfair
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League standings

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