League One — England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.45) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 24.9% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonStevenage
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack27%20%
Defense60%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Stevenage
HATHAT
Played202242202141
Wins60%27%43%60%33%46%
Draws35%41%38%30%19%24%
Loses5%32%19%10%48%29%
BoltonLWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDWWWWDDDWWDDLWDL
StevenageWWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLWWLWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Bolton Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total362359232043
GF avg1.81.01.41.21.01.0
GA total172744112738
GA avg0.91.21.00.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%74%73%59%
1.540%26%24%24%
2.514%5%7%10%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.52%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets741111617
Failed to score46103811

Penalties

MetricBoltonStevenage
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBoltonStevenage
Wins44
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-52-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-23-0
Goals For4523
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricBoltonStevenage
Form33%67%
Att57%43%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total52.3%47.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ 188Bet
📊

League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Bolton
vs
Stevenage
League One • England • Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Expected goals
1.61
Bolton xG League Avg: 1.45
Total
2.40
0.79
Stevenage xG League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away
18.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.6%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
#Bolton #Stevenage #LeagueOne #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.61 (league 1.45), Stevenage = 0.79 (league 1.14)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 18.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1