Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 20:05 • Stade Jean Bouin
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.70) 1.34 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 27.1% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 8.7% 11.7% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.8% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCToulouse
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack36%36%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Toulouse
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%25%27%38%29%33%
Draws29%25%27%38%29%33%
Loses43%50%47%25%43%33%

Form: Paris FC: LLWWLDWLLDWLLDD • Toulouse: WWLLLDWWLDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Paris FC Toulouse
HATHAT
GF total1292114721
GF avg1.71.11.41.81.01.4
GA total12142611819
GA avg1.71.81.71.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCToulouse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%73%67%
1.547%47%47%33%
2.513%27%13%7%
3.50%13%7%7%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCToulouse
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricParis FCToulouse
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricParis FCToulouse
Wins22
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses2-35-23-62-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3562

Model comparison

MetricParis FCToulouse
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h36%64%
Goals50%50%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Toulouse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.43 @ 1xBet
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 1.10 (league 1.70), Toulouse = 1.34 (league 1.27)

Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 8.7% 11.7% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.6% 12.8% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 8 , Vtod3