Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 19:05 •
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.61)
0.85 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lille | 0 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 27% |
| Defense | 80% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 53% | 55% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 40% | 7% | 24% |
| Loses | 21% | 33% | 28% | 33% | 71% | 52% |
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NiceLWLWLDDWWWLLLLLLDLWDDLDLLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Lille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 26 | 49 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 26 | 30 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lille | Nice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 66% | 69% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 31% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 17% | 14% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 3% | 3% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lille | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-7 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.62 @ 1xBet
Away6.40 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.27 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ 10Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
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League standings
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