Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 15:00 •
Stade du Moustoir
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.61)
1.63 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 23.1% | 37.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marseille | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorient | 0 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 25% | 44% |
| Defense | 63% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 13% | 31% | 67% | 43% | 55% |
| Draws | 43% | 33% | 38% | 20% | 7% | 14% |
| Loses | 7% | 53% | 31% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
LorientLWLLDWLDLDLDDWWDDWWWLWDDDWLDL
MarseilleLWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDLDLWWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 21 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lorient | Marseille | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 83% | 79% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 34% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 17% | 34% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 7% | 17% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 14% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 6-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lorient | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.98 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away1.72 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.38 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…