Auxerre 2-1 Nice: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Auxerre 2-1 Nice: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ligue 1 🌍 France

Sun, May 10 2026 · 19:00

Auxerre

2 - 1

Nice

🏆 Ligue 1

🌍 France

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 0.90

Both

2.50

League avg: 2.00

Away

1.05

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 36%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 40%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

64%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Auxerre vs Nice

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Auxerre vs Nice.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Nice
		0	1	2	3	4
Auxerre	0	8.2%	8.6%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
	1	11.9%	12.5%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
	2	8.6%	9.1%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
	3	4.2%	4.4%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1472+21

League

1555±0

Away

1494+1

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Auxerre	1472	1493	1468	1451	1524	+21
Nice	1494	1487	1468	1488	1481	+1

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Auxerre	15	32	28	6	10	16	30	43	DDDLW
Nice	16	32	31	7	10	15	36	58	LDDDD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Auxerre	5	40%	44%	61%	1.6	1.4
Nice	5	27%	22%	67%	0.8	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Auxerre	1.0	0.9	0.9	1.0	1.7	1.3
Nice	1.2	1.1	1.1	1.7	1.9	1.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Auxerre	0.9	1.0	1.3	1.0
Nice	1.1	1.1	1.8	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.86%	8.82%	11.11%	16.67%
16-30	14.29%	14.71%	17.78%	11.67%
31-45	21.43%	23.53%	13.33%	21.67%
46-60	10.71%	20.59%	17.78%	15.00%
61-75	21.43%	11.76%	11.11%	15.00%
76-90	14.29%	20.59%	28.89%	20.00%

Team Comparison

Form

67%

Attack

33%

46%

Defense

54%

58%

Poisson

42%

H2H

45%

Goals

55%

54%

Total

46%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Auxerre	3-0	1-3	0-3	3-0	3 / 3	4 / 3
Nice	3-1	1-4	1-5	5-1	3 / 4	5 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Auxerre	8	7	1	16	8	8
Nice	5	3	2	10	5	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Auxerre	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Nice	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-08-23	Nice	3 - 1 FT	Auxerre
2025-03-14	Nice	1 - 1 FT	Auxerre
2024-08-18	Auxerre	2 - 1 FT	Nice
2024-01-06	Nice	0 - 0 FT	Auxerre
2023-03-03	Nice	1 - 1 FT	Auxerre
2022-10-16	Auxerre	1 - 1 FT	Nice

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.35	Homepage market
Draw	3.40	Homepage market
Away win	2.90	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.91	Homepage market
BTTS market	2.00	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Auxerre	Nice
expected_goals	0.72	1.23
Ball Possession	52%	48%
Total Shots	12	10
Shots on Goal	4	6
Shots off Goal	5	2
Blocked Shots	3	2
Shots insidebox	8	8
Shots outsidebox	4	2
Corner Kicks	10	1
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	15	9
Yellow Cards	1	0
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	2
Total passes	447	431
Passes accurate	358	337
Passes %	80%	78%
goals_prevented	-0.71	-0.71

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Auxerre	J. Casimir	Card	Yellow Card
86'	Auxerre	D. Namaso	subst	Out: M. Cissokho
86'	Auxerre	S. Mara	subst	Out: J. Casimir
81'	Nice	S. Diop	subst	Out: I. Jansson
76'	Nice	M. Cho	subst	Out: E. Wahi
76'	Nice	M. Sanson	subst	Out: Kevin
71'	Auxerre	L. Sy	subst	Out: M. Senaya
70'	Auxerre	L. Sinayoko	Goal	Assist: N. Ahamada
59'	Nice	M. Bard	subst	Out: A. Abdi
59'	Nice	S. Abdul Samed	subst	Out: T. Louchet
27'	Auxerre	S. Mara	Goal	Normal Goal
13'	Auxerre	B. Okoh	subst	Out: C. Akpa
9'	Nice	S. Diop	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Ligue 1 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Paris Saint Germain Champions League	1	33	76	24	4	5	73	27	46	WWDWW
Lens Champions League	2	33	67	21	4	8	62	35	27	LWDDW
Lille Champions League	3	33	61	18	7	8	52	35	17	WDWDW
Lyon Champions League Qualification	4	33	60	18	6	9	53	36	17	LWWWW
Rennes UEFA Europa League	5	33	59	17	8	8	58	47	11	WLWWW
Marseille Conference League Qualification	6	33	56	17	5	11	60	44	16	WLDLW
Monaco	7	33	54	16	6	11	56	49	7	LWDDL
Strasbourg	8	33	50	14	8	11	53	43	10	WDLWL
Lorient	9	33	45	11	12	10	48	49	-1	WDLWL
Toulouse	10	33	44	12	8	13	47	46	1	WWDLL
Paris FC	11	33	41	10	11	12	45	49	-4	LWLWW
Stade Brestois 29	12	33	38	10	8	15	42	54	-12	LLLDD
Angers	13	33	35	9	8	16	28	47	-19	DLLDL
Le Havre	14	33	32	6	14	13	30	44	-14	LDDDD
Auxerre	15	33	31	7	10	16	32	44	-12	WWLDD
Nice Relegation Playoffs	16	33	31	7	10	16	37	60	-23	LDDDD
Nantes Relegation	17	33	23	5	8	20	29	52	-23	LWLLD
Metz Relegation	18	33	16	3	7	23	32	76	-44	LLDLL