Ligue 1 — France
Sun, May 10 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Océane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.59) 1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 27.4% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.9% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe HavreMarseille
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack44%28%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Havre Marseille
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins31%6%19%63%38%50%
Draws50%38%44%25%6%16%
Loses19%56%38%13%56%34%
Le HavreLLWLDDDLWWDDLLDLWDDLWWLLLDLDDDDD
MarseilleLWLWWWWWLDWWWDLWLWWDLDLWWWLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Le Havre Marseille
HATHAT
GF total201030382159
GF avg1.30.60.92.41.31.8
GA total172643192544
GA avg1.11.61.31.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe HavreMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%78%75%75%
1.525%28%47%50%
2.56%16%31%6%
3.53%6%16%3%
4.50%3%13%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe HavreMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score5813178

Penalties

MetricLe HavreMarseille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricLe HavreMarseille
Wins25
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-16-21-5
Biggest losses1-26-20-25-0
Goals For4265
Goals Against4625

Model comparison

MetricLe HavreMarseille
Form56%44%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals21%79%
Total48.6%51.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away2.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 10Bet
No2.48 @ Unibet
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League standings

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