Monaco 0-1 Lille: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Monaco 0-1 Lille: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ligue 1 🌍 France

Sun, May 10 2026 · 19:00

Monaco

0 - 1

Lille

🏆 Ligue 1

🌍 France

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.70

League avg: 1.80

Both

3.25

League avg: 3.40

Away

1.55

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

36%

ELO-based: 35%

Draw

22%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

42%

ELO-based: 41%

Goal Probability

2.5+

63%

3.5+

45%

BTTS

71%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

2 - 19%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Monaco vs Lille

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Monaco vs Lille.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Lille
		0	1	2	3	4
Monaco	0	3.9%	6.0%	4.7%	2.4%	0.9%
	1	6.6%	10.2%	7.9%	4.1%	1.6%
	2	5.6%	8.7%	6.7%	3.5%	1.3%
	3	3.2%	4.9%	3.8%	2.0%	0.8%
	4	1.3%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1603-29

League

1555±0

Away

1631+26

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Monaco	1603	1609	1544	1641	1500	-29
Lille	1631	1663	1549	1577	1676	+26

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Monaco	7	32	54	16	6	10	56	48	WLDDW
Lille	3	32	58	17	7	8	51	35	WWDWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Monaco	5	53%	50%	44%	1.8	2.0
Lille	5	73%	50%	94%	1.8	0.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Monaco	2.1	1.4	1.8	1.4	1.6	1.5
Lille	1.5	1.7	1.6	0.9	1.3	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Monaco	1.8	2.1	1.5	1.4
Lille	1.6	1.7	1.1	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	7.27%	9.62%	10.20%	8.82%
16-30	12.73%	9.62%	12.24%	11.76%
31-45	12.73%	9.62%	20.41%	17.65%
46-60	20.00%	17.31%	12.24%	26.47%
61-75	27.27%	9.62%	16.33%	17.65%
76-90	20.00%	44.23%	28.57%	17.65%

Team Comparison

42%

Form

58%

Attack

Defense

91%

46%

Poisson

54%

29%

H2H

71%

29%

Goals

71%

34%

Total

66%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Monaco	4-0	3-5	1-4	4-1	5 / 5	4 / 4
Lille	6-1	1-7	1-4	3-0	6 / 7	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Monaco	7	5	2	6	1	5
Lille	12	6	6	9	3	6

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Monaco	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Lille	7	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-08-24	Lille	1 - 0 FT	Monaco
2025-02-22	Lille	2 - 1 FT	Monaco
2024-10-18	Monaco	0 - 0 FT	Lille
2024-04-24	Monaco	1 - 0 FT	Lille
2023-10-29	Lille	2 - 0 FT	Monaco
2023-05-14	Monaco	0 - 0 FT	Lille

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.55	Homepage market
Draw	3.75	Homepage market
Away win	2.55	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.62	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.53	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Monaco	Lille
expected_goals	0.27	0.36
Ball Possession	55%	45%
Total Shots	7	7
Shots on Goal	3	2
Shots off Goal	3	4
Blocked Shots	1	1
Shots insidebox	5	5
Shots outsidebox	2	2
Corner Kicks	5	2
Offsides	2	2
Fouls	13	10
Yellow Cards	1	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	3
Total passes	461	383
Passes accurate	380	301
Passes %	82%	79%
goals_prevented	0.83	0.83

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Lille	R. Perraud	subst	Out: Alexsandro
89'	Lille	H. Haraldsson	subst	Out: C. Verdonk
80'	Monaco	T. Kehrer	subst	Out: I. Toure
80'	Monaco	J. Teze	subst	Out: M. Biereth
79'	Monaco	M. Coulibaly	Card	Yellow Card
75'	Lille	G. Perrin	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Lille	D. Zakaria	Goal	Own Goal
71'	Lille	F. Correia	subst	Out: G. Perrin
62'	Lille	N. Mukau	subst	Out: E. Mbappe
59'	Monaco	A. Golovin	subst	Out: A. Fati
58'	Monaco	S. Adingra	subst	Out: W. Faes
58'	Monaco	A. Bamba	subst	Out: M. Coulibaly
54'	Lille	M. Fernandez-Pardo	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Lille	A. Bouaddi	subst	Out: N. Bentaleb
23'	Lille	A. Bouaddi	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Ligue 1 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Paris Saint Germain Champions League	1	33	76	24	4	5	73	27	46	WWDWW
Lens Champions League	2	33	67	21	4	8	62	35	27	LWDDW
Lille Champions League	3	33	61	18	7	8	52	35	17	WDWDW
Lyon Champions League Qualification	4	33	60	18	6	9	53	36	17	LWWWW
Rennes UEFA Europa League	5	33	59	17	8	8	58	47	11	WLWWW
Marseille Conference League Qualification	6	33	56	17	5	11	60	44	16	WLDLW
Monaco	7	33	54	16	6	11	56	49	7	LWDDL
Strasbourg	8	33	50	14	8	11	53	43	10	WDLWL
Lorient	9	33	45	11	12	10	48	49	-1	WDLWL
Toulouse	10	33	44	12	8	13	47	46	1	WWDLL
Paris FC	11	33	41	10	11	12	45	49	-4	LWLWW
Stade Brestois 29	12	33	38	10	8	15	42	54	-12	LLLDD
Angers	13	33	35	9	8	16	28	47	-19	DLLDL
Le Havre	14	33	32	6	14	13	30	44	-14	LDDDD
Auxerre	15	33	31	7	10	16	32	44	-12	WWLDD
Nice Relegation Playoffs	16	33	31	7	10	16	37	60	-23	LDDDD
Nantes Relegation	17	33	23	5	8	20	29	52	-23	LWLLD
Metz Relegation	18	33	16	3	7	23	32	76	-44	LLDLL