Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Stade Brestois 29: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Stade Brestois 29: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ligue 1 🌍 France

Sun, May 10 2026 · 19:00

Paris Saint Germain

1 - 0

Stade Brestois 29

🏆 Ligue 1

🌍 France

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.20

League avg: 2.30

Both

3.05

League avg: 3.60

Away

0.85

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

84%

ELO-based: 63%

Draw

11%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 13%

Goal Probability

2.5+

61%

3.5+

44%

BTTS

69%

Best Score Tips

2 - 012%

1 - 010%

2 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Stade Brestois 29
		0	1	2	3	4
Paris Saint Germain	0	4.7%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	1	10.4%	8.9%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
	2	11.5%	9.7%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
	3	8.4%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
	4	4.6%	3.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1769-4

League

1555±0

Away

1491-24

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Paris Saint Germain	1769	1759	1631	1944	1741	-4
Stade Brestois 29	1491	1467	1482	1487	1419	-24

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Paris Saint Germain	1	31	70	22	4	5	70	27	WLWWD
Stade Brestois 29	12	31	38	10	8	13	41	51	LLDDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Paris Saint Germain	5	67%	67%	72%	2.4	1.0
Stade Brestois 29	5	13%	39%	17%	1.4	3.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Paris Saint Germain	2.5	2.0	2.3	0.8	1.0	0.9
Stade Brestois 29	1.7	0.9	1.3	1.3	1.9	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Paris Saint Germain	2.3	2.5	0.9	0.8
Stade Brestois 29	1.3	0.9	1.6	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.14%	19.51%	7.41%	13.73%
16-30	8.57%	14.63%	22.22%	21.57%
31-45	21.43%	14.63%	14.81%	15.69%
46-60	14.29%	17.07%	18.52%	9.80%
61-75	15.71%	12.20%	14.81%	21.57%
76-90	22.86%	21.95%	22.22%	17.65%

Team Comparison

83%

Form

17%

63%

Attack

37%

75%

Defense

25%

84%

Poisson

16%

H2H

88%

Goals

13%

79%

Total

22%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Paris Saint Germain	5-0	0-4	1-3	3-1	5 / 6	3 / 3
Stade Brestois 29	4-1	0-2	0-3	4-0	4 / 3	4 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Paris Saint Germain	16	10	6	2	0	2
Stade Brestois 29	9	7	2	10	4	6

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Paris Saint Germain	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Stade Brestois 29	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-25	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 3 FT	Paris Saint Germain
2025-02-19	Paris Saint Germain	7 - 0 FT	Stade Brestois 29
2025-02-11	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 3 FT	Paris Saint Germain
2025-02-01	Stade Brestois 29	2 - 5 FT	Paris Saint Germain
2024-09-14	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1 FT	Stade Brestois 29
2024-02-07	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1 FT	Stade Brestois 29

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.20	Homepage market
Draw	7.00	Homepage market
Away win	11.00	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.33	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.75	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Paris Saint Germain	Stade Brestois 29
expected_goals	1.25	0.16
Ball Possession	67%	33%
Total Shots	23	3
Shots on Goal	6	2
Shots off Goal	6	1
Blocked Shots	11	0
Shots insidebox	10	2
Shots outsidebox	13	1
Corner Kicks	13	2
Offsides	3	3
Fouls	5	12
Yellow Cards	—	—
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	5
Total passes	687	339
Passes accurate	609	269
Passes %	89%	79%
goals_prevented	0.45	0.45

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Stade Brestois 29	L. Tousart	subst	Out: H. Makalou
87'	Stade Brestois 29	R. Del Castillo	subst	Out: M. Balde
82'	Paris Saint Germain	D. Doue	Goal	Assist: L. Hernandez
69'	Paris Saint Germain	B. Barcola	subst	Out: J. Neves
67'	Stade Brestois 29	K. Doumbia	subst	Out: R. Labeau Lascary
61'	Paris Saint Germain	G. Ramos	subst	Out: O. Dembele
61'	Paris Saint Germain	F. Ruiz	subst	Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
53'	Paris Saint Germain	Lee Kang-In	subst	Out: D. Doue

League Standings

Local standings cache · Ligue 1 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Paris Saint Germain Champions League	1	34	76	24	4	6	74	29	45	LWWDW
Lens Champions League	2	34	70	22	4	8	66	35	31	WLWDD
Lille Champions League	3	34	61	18	7	9	52	37	15	LWDWD
Lyon Champions League Qualification	4	34	60	18	6	10	53	40	13	LLWWW
Marseille UEFA Europa League	5	34	59	18	5	11	63	45	18	WWLDL
Rennes Conference League Qualification	6	34	59	17	8	9	59	50	9	LWLWW
Monaco	7	34	54	16	6	12	60	54	6	LLWDD
Strasbourg	8	34	53	15	8	11	58	47	11	WWDLW
Lorient	9	34	45	11	12	11	48	51	-3	LWDLW
Toulouse	10	33	44	12	8	13	47	46	1	WWDLL
Paris FC	11	34	44	11	11	12	47	50	-3	WLWLW
Stade Brestois 29	12	34	39	10	9	15	43	55	-12	DLLLD
Angers	13	34	36	9	9	16	29	48	-19	DDLLD
Le Havre	14	34	35	7	14	13	32	44	-12	WLDDD
Auxerre	15	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	WWWLD
Nice Relegation Playoffs	16	34	32	7	11	16	37	60	-23	DLDDD
Nantes Relegation	17	33	23	5	8	20	29	52	-23	LWLLD
Metz Relegation	18	34	17	3	8	23	32	76	-44	DLLDL