Bundesliga — Germany
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:30 • MHPArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.59) 2.30 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.7% 17.6% 67.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 4.4% 10.2% 11.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.4%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
Played33
Form33%78%
Attack13%29%
Defense79%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 17 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfB Stuttgart FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%67%0%0%0%

Form: VfB Stuttgart: LWL • FC St. Pauli: DWW

League goals

Metric VfB Stuttgart FC St. Pauli
HATHAT
GF total123527
GF avg1.01.01.02.52.02.3
GA total055404
GA avg0.02.51.72.00.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.50%67%100%33%
2.50%33%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
Wins10
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-10-2
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For1132
Goals Against0330

Model comparison

MetricVfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli
Form30%70%
Att30%70%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total47.6%52.6%

Advice: Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Dafabet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfB Stuttgart = 0.82 (league 1.59), FC St. Pauli = 2.30 (league 1.48)

FC St. Pauli
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfB Stuttgart 0 4.4% 10.2% 11.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.4%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 67.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1