Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.57) 2.48 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 14.8% 73.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 3
11.2%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 4.4% 11.0% 13.6% 11.2% 7.0% 3.5%
1 2.8% 7.0% 8.7% 7.2% 4.4% 2.2%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack22%56%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%50%20%
Draws0%67%40%0%50%20%
Loses50%33%40%100%0%60%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWD • FSV Mainz 05: LDLWL

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV FSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
GF total202055
GF avg1.00.00.40.02.51.0
GA total358426
GA avg1.51.71.61.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%60%40%100%
1.520%40%20%20%
2.50%20%20%0%
3.50%20%20%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score134303

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——1-4
Biggest losses0-25-00-2—
Goals For2004
Goals Against2521

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Form56%44%
Att29%71%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away2.41 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.44 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 0.64 (league 1.57), FSV Mainz 05 = 2.48 (league 1.51)

FSV Mainz 05
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 4.4% 11.0% 13.6% 11.2% 7.0% 3.5%
1 2.8% 7.0% 8.7% 7.2% 4.4% 2.2%
2 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 73.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1