Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 14:30 • Millerntor-Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.59) 1.07 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 25.2% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
1. FC Heidenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 7.1% 7.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack14%23%
Defense50%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC St. Pauli 1. FC Heidenheim
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%14%15%29%17%23%
Draws17%14%15%29%0%15%
Loses67%71%69%43%83%62%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLD • 1. FC Heidenheim: LLLLWLDLDLLWW

League goals

Metric FC St. Pauli 1. FC Heidenheim
HATHAT
GF total65118412
GF avg1.00.70.81.10.70.9
GA total141125131528
GA avg2.31.61.91.92.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%92%62%100%
1.523%62%31%62%
2.58%31%0%31%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
Wins21
Draws11
Losses94

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-43-10-36-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricFC St. Pauli1. FC Heidenheim
Form13%88%
Att38%63%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total49.7%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 1.57 (league 1.59), 1. FC Heidenheim = 1.07 (league 1.50)

1. FC Heidenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC St. Pauli 0 7.1% 7.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1