Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:30 • Holstein-Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.57) 1.11 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 28.1% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.8% 10.8% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack36%45%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holstein Kiel Fortuna Düsseldorf
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%0%60%27%
Draws40%17%27%33%0%18%
Loses40%50%45%67%40%55%

Form: Holstein Kiel: LLWLWWLDDDL • Fortuna Düsseldorf: LLWDWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Holstein Kiel Fortuna Düsseldorf
HATHAT
GF total66124610
GF avg1.21.01.10.71.20.9
GA total661211819
GA avg1.21.01.11.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%64%82%
1.518%36%27%45%
2.59%0%0%27%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
Wins21
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-35-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricHolstein KielFortuna Düsseldorf
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Düsseldorf

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holstein Kiel = 1.22 (league 1.57), Fortuna Düsseldorf = 1.11 (league 1.30)

Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holstein Kiel 0 9.8% 10.8% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2