Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 17:30 • Merkur Spiel-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.56) 1.71 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 24.0% 52.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 6.4% 10.9% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack31%13%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins22%38%29%44%13%29%
Draws22%0%12%11%38%24%
Loses56%63%59%44%50%47%

Form: Fortuna Düsseldorf: LLWDWLWLLLDLWLLLW • Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDWLLLLWDWLLLDD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf Arminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
GF total8715171027
GF avg0.90.90.91.91.31.6
GA total151227101424
GA avg1.71.51.61.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%88%82%71%
1.529%41%41%47%
2.50%18%18%18%
3.50%6%12%6%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score437123

Penalties

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
Wins12
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-10-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-33-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfArminia Bielefeld
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals52%48%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Düsseldorf = 1.04 (league 1.56), Arminia Bielefeld = 1.71 (league 1.29)

Arminia Bielefeld
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 6.4% 10.9% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.5% 5.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 52.2%

vtt 17 , vtd1