Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 11:00 •
SchücoArena
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.62)
1.12 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 22.4% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| 1. FC Nürnberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 29% | 33% |
| Defense | 48% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 13% | 28% | 47% | 21% | 34% |
| Draws | 21% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 36% | 60% | 48% | 27% | 57% | 41% |
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1. FC NürnbergLLLDLWLWDDWWWLDLWWLDLWDLLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 17 | 23 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 69% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 48% | 38% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 17% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ William Hill
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League standings
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