Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Haberfeld Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.37) 0.90 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 17.7% 12.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack80%100%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Rishon LeZion Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%33%39%33%0%17%
Draws33%22%28%33%56%44%
Loses22%44%33%33%44%39%

Form: Hapoel Rishon LeZion: DWWWLLWLWWLDDWLDDL • Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDDDLWLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Rishon LeZion Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
GF total141125111122
GF avg1.61.21.41.21.21.2
GA total8122081826
GA avg0.91.31.10.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%83%83%
1.528%28%33%44%
2.528%6%6%11%
3.511%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
Wins31
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-0—
Biggest losses0-23-01-24-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Nazareth Illit
Form36%64%
Att44%56%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Rishon LeZion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Dafabet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Rishon LeZion = 2.34 (league 1.37), Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.90 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 12.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1