Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.48) 0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.8% 11.2% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
3 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealElche
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack60%33%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Elche
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins77%46%62%36%0%19%
Draws8%15%12%50%33%42%
Loses15%38%27%14%67%38%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLDWLWWL • Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLWLDDLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Villarreal Elche
HATHAT
GF total291948221234
GF avg2.21.51.81.61.01.3
GA total112031152439
GA avg0.81.51.21.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealElche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%85%77%
1.562%38%35%46%
2.523%8%8%27%
3.512%4%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealElche
HATHAT
Clean sheets538606
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricVillarrealElche
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricVillarrealElche
Wins61
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-0
Biggest losses0-24-11-33-1
Goals For5342
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealElche
Form82%18%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Winner : Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.85 @ 188Bet
Away6.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 2.98 (league 1.48), Elche = 0.70 (league 1.15)

Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.5% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1