Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio de San Mamés
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51)
1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 26.7% | 35.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.1%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarreal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Club | 0 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 18% | 41% |
| Defense | 53% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 20% | 37% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 13% | 20% | 17% | 7% | 20% | 13% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 47% | 13% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Athletic Club: WWWLLDLWDLLWLWLWLLDLLDWWWDLLWL • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLDWLWWLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 20 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 13 | 22 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Athletic Club | Villarreal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 83% | 83% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 40% | 60% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 17% | 23% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Athletic Club | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Athletic Club or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Athletic Club
vs
Villarreal
Expected goals
1.29
Athletic Club xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.54
1.25
Villarreal xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Away
35.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
Tip
1 - 0
10.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 1.29 (league 1.51), Villarreal = 1.25 (league 1.14)
| Villarreal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Club | 0 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 35.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1