La Liga — Spain
Sun, May 10 2026 • 19:00 • Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.53) 0.78 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 20.1% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 6.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%88%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins100%71%85%82%59%71%
Draws0%6%3%6%24%15%
Loses0%24%12%12%18%15%
BarcelonaWWDWWWWLWLWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWWWWW
Real MadridWWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLWWWWWWWWLLWWWLDWDW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total523789393170
GF avg3.12.22.62.31.82.1
GA total92231141731
GA avg0.51.30.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%59%91%65%
1.576%24%71%18%
2.553%6%26%3%
3.521%3%15%3%
4.59%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets95145712
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%12 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total712

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Wins98
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-35-11-4
Biggest losses—4-10-25-2
Goals For6554
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Form65%35%
Att61%39%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h80%20%
Goals59%41%
Total66.3%33.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.94 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Marathonbet
No3.20 @ 10Bet
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League standings

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