Mon, May 11 2026 • 19:00 •
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.53)
0.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 30.8% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Girona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 78% | 56% |
| Defense | 33% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 24% | 29% | 35% | 18% | 26% |
| Draws | 53% | 18% | 35% | 24% | 41% | 32% |
| Loses | 12% | 59% | 35% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
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GironaLLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLDWDLDWLWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 14 | 35 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 27 | 41 | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 68% | 74% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 21% | 6% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…