Tue, May 12 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio El Sadar
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.53)
1.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.3% | 26.4% | 34.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Osasuna | 0 | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 86% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 53% | 11% | 31% | 78% | 29% | 54% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 17% |
| Loses | 18% | 67% | 43% | 17% | 41% | 29% |
OsasunaLWLWLDLWLLDLLDWLWDLWWDWDWLDLWDDLWLL
Atletico MadridLDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLWWWWLLLLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 13 | 42 | 38 | 20 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 80% | 86% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 37% | 46% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 11% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Osasuna | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away2.80 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Betano
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League standings
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