Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 La Liga 🌍 Spain

Wed, May 13 2026 · 17:00

Villarreal

2 - 3

Sevilla

🏆 La Liga

🌍 Spain

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.15

League avg: 1.90

Both

3.15

League avg: 3.10

Away

1.00

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

79%

ELO-based: 48%

Draw

13%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 28%

Goal Probability

2.5+

61%

3.5+

43%

BTTS

76%

Best Score Tips

2 - 010%

2 - 110%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Villarreal vs Sevilla.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Sevilla
		0	1	2	3	4
Villarreal	0	4.3%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
	1	9.2%	9.2%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
	2	9.9%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
	3	7.1%	7.1%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
	4	3.8%	3.8%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1601±0

League

1573±0

Away

1511+22

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Villarreal	1601	1605	1558	1674	1545	±0
Sevilla	1511	1523	1494	1523	1478	+22

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Villarreal	3	35	69	21	6	8	65	40	WDWWD
Sevilla	12	35	40	11	7	17	43	56	WLLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Villarreal	5	73%	73%	67%	2.2	1.0
Sevilla	5	60%	40%	60%	1.2	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Villarreal	2.4	1.3	1.9	0.9	1.4	1.1
Sevilla	1.3	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.9	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Villarreal	1.9	2.4	1.1	0.9
Sevilla	1.2	1.1	1.6	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.12%	12.50%	7.69%	6.78%
16-30	15.15%	12.50%	10.26%	10.17%
31-45	24.24%	15.00%	15.38%	25.42%
46-60	18.18%	17.50%	23.08%	20.34%
61-75	15.15%	15.00%	15.38%	10.17%
76-90	15.15%	27.50%	28.21%	27.12%

Team Comparison

55%

Form

45%

65%

Attack

35%

55%

Defense

45%

77%

Poisson

23%

93%

H2H

63%

Goals

37%

68%

Total

32%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Villarreal	5-0	1-3	0-2	4-1	5 / 3	2 / 4
Sevilla	4-0	0-2	0-3	5-2	4 / 2	3 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Villarreal	8	5	3	5	2	3
Sevilla	6	3	3	8	4	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Villarreal	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Sevilla	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-09-23	Sevilla	1 - 2 FT	Villarreal
2025-05-25	Villarreal	4 - 2 FT	Sevilla
2024-08-23	Sevilla	1 - 2 FT	Villarreal
2024-05-11	Villarreal	3 - 2 FT	Sevilla
2023-12-03	Sevilla	1 - 1 FT	Villarreal
2023-04-23	Sevilla	2 - 1 FT	Villarreal

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.95	Homepage market
Draw	3.50	Homepage market
Away win	3.90	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.80	Homepage market
BTTS market	2.05	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Villarreal	Sevilla
expected_goals	0.81	0.88
Ball Possession	63%	37%
Total Shots	6	13
Shots on Goal	4	5
Shots off Goal	1	3
Blocked Shots	1	5
Shots insidebox	4	7
Shots outsidebox	2	6
Corner Kicks	6	4
Offsides	0	3
Fouls	11	9
Yellow Cards	2	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	1
Total passes	554	325
Passes accurate	499	276
Passes %	90%	85%
goals_prevented	-0.22	-0.22

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	Sevilla	J. A. Carmona	Card	Yellow Card
90+2'	Villarreal	R. Veiga	Card	Yellow Card
86'	Sevilla	A. Adams	subst	Out: Castrin
86'	Sevilla	D. Sow	subst	Out: N. Gudelj
81'	Villarreal	A. Perez	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Sevilla	N. Maupay	subst	Out: A. Sanchez
72'	Sevilla	A. Adams	Goal	Assist: D. Sow
70'	Villarreal	G. Mikautadze	subst	Out: A. Perez
70'	Villarreal	D. Parejo	subst	Out: S. Comesana
68'	Sevilla	R. Vargas	subst	Out: J. Sanchez
60'	Villarreal	N. Pepe	subst	Out: T. Buchanan
60'	Villarreal	P. Gueye	subst	Out: T. Partey
45+2'	Sevilla	K. Salas	Goal	Assist: R. Vargas
36'	Sevilla	Oso	Goal	Assist: L. Agoume
20'	Villarreal	G. Mikautadze	Goal	Assist: A. Moleiro
13'	Villarreal	G. Moreno	Goal	Assist: G. Mikautadze

League Standings

Local standings cache · La Liga 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Barcelona Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	1	36	91	30	1	5	91	32	59	LWWWW
Real Madrid Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	2	36	80	25	5	6	72	33	39	WLWDW
Villarreal Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	3	36	69	21	6	9	67	43	24	LDWWD
Atletico Madrid Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	4	36	66	20	6	10	60	39	21	WLWWL
Real Betis Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	5	36	57	14	15	7	56	44	12	WDWDW
Celta Vigo Promotion - Europa League (League phase)	6	36	50	13	11	12	51	47	4	LWWLL
Getafe Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	7	36	48	14	6	16	31	37	-6	WDLLW
Real Sociedad Promotion - Europa League (League phase)	8	36	45	11	12	13	55	56	-1	DDLDL
Athletic Club	9	36	44	13	5	18	40	53	-13	LLWLW
Rayo Vallecano	10	36	44	10	14	12	37	43	-6	DDWDW
Valencia	11	36	43	11	10	15	39	51	-12	DWLWD
Sevilla	12	36	43	12	7	17	46	58	-12	WWWLL
Osasuna	13	36	42	11	9	16	43	47	-4	LLLWL
Espanyol	14	36	42	11	9	16	40	53	-13	WLLDL
Girona	15	36	40	9	13	14	38	53	-15	DDLLL
Alaves	16	36	40	10	10	16	42	54	-12	WDLWL
Elche	17	36	39	9	12	15	47	56	-9	LDLWW
Mallorca Relegation - LaLiga2	18	36	39	10	9	17	44	55	-11	LDWLD
Levante Relegation - LaLiga2	19	36	39	10	9	17	44	59	-15	WWLDW
Oviedo Relegation - LaLiga2	20	36	29	6	11	19	26	56	-30	LDLLD