Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.48) 0.44 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 35.8% 16.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 24.2% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack33%83%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Almeria
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins80%14%42%67%33%50%
Draws0%43%25%17%50%33%
Loses20%43%33%17%17%17%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWL • Almeria: DWDLLWWDWDWW

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Almeria
HATHAT
GF total651116723
GF avg1.20.70.92.71.21.9
GA total2121411718
GA avg0.41.71.21.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%50%100%75%
1.525%33%50%42%
2.58%25%25%25%
3.50%8%17%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score145000

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
Wins22
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-20-1
Biggest losses0-14-12-33-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against1443

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCAlmeria
Form48%52%
Att29%71%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): AD Ceuta FC = 0.98 (league 1.48), Almeria = 0.44 (league 1.08)

Almeria
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 24.2% 10.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% Ā· Draw 35.8% Ā· Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1