Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.48) 0.65 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 30.4% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 15.6% 10.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosCastellón
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack47%33%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Castellón
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%33%33%33%
Draws33%17%25%33%17%25%
Loses17%33%25%33%50%42%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWW • Castellón: LLDLDWWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Burgos Castellón
HATHAT
GF total910199615
GF avg1.51.71.61.51.01.3
GA total48128715
GA avg0.71.31.01.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosCastellón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%67%83%
1.542%25%33%25%
2.525%0%25%17%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosCastellón
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricBurgosCastellón
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricBurgosCastellón
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-13-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricBurgosCastellón
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgos = 1.21 (league 1.48), Castellón = 0.65 (league 1.08)

Castellón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 15.6% 10.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1