Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.47) 0.58 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 31.8% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
0 - 0
17.9%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 17.9% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCValladolid
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack62%38%
Defense54%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC Valladolid
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%18%43%27%30%29%
Draws10%36%24%36%30%33%
Loses20%45%33%36%40%38%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDWWL • Valladolid: WWDDWLLDWLDWDLLDWLLDL

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC Valladolid
HATHAT
GF total14112513821
GF avg1.41.01.21.20.81.0
GA total81826111223
GA avg0.81.61.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCValladolid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%67%57%76%
1.529%38%24%19%
2.514%14%14%14%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCValladolid
HATHAT
Clean sheets437235
Failed to score145459

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCValladolid
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCValladolid
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-4
Biggest losses1-24-12-33-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCValladolid
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Unibet
No1.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): AD Ceuta FC = 1.14 (league 1.47), Valladolid = 0.58 (league 1.11)

Valladolid
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 17.9% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% Ā· Draw 31.8% Ā· Away win 18.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1