Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal Castalia
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.49)
1.17 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 25.2% | 28.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Burgos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellón | 0 | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 69% | 77% |
| Defense | 54% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 65% | 28% | 46% | 50% | 47% | 49% |
| Draws | 18% | 39% | 29% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 33% | 26% | 17% | 35% | 26% |
CastellónLLDLDWWWDLLWDWWWWWLWDWDWWWDLLLDDWWD
BurgosWDLDWDWLLWWWDWLLLWDLWWLWDDLWWDWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 23 | 58 | 23 | 19 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 23 | 43 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellón | Burgos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 69% | 66% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 49% | 29% | 31% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 17% | 14% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellón | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away5.26 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…