Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.17) 1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 29.6% 41.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 12.1% 14.2% 8.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack70%50%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sliema Wanderers Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played718538
Wins43%100%50%40%67%50%
Draws29%0%25%20%0%13%
Loses29%0%25%40%33%38%

Form: Sliema Wanderers: WLWDDWLW • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Sliema Wanderers Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total82106410
GF avg1.12.01.31.21.31.3
GA total819538
GA avg1.11.01.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%50%
1.550%25%38%38%
2.50%13%13%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
Wins12
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-4—0-23-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against4123

Model comparison

MetricSliema WanderersMarsaxlokk
Form53%47%
Att58%42%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marsaxlokk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sliema Wanderers = 0.94 (league 1.17), Marsaxlokk = 1.17 (league 1.22)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sliema Wanderers 0 12.1% 14.2% 8.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 41.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1