3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 • LEAG Energie Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.60) 1.83 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 20.7% 33.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Energie Cottbus 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack59%41%
Defense35%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Energie Cottbus MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%63%63%75%38%56%
Draws25%0%13%25%38%31%
Loses13%38%25%0%25%13%

Form: Energie Cottbus: DWLDWWLWWWWWLLWW • MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Energie Cottbus MSV Duisburg
HATHAT
GF total211536171330
GF avg2.61.92.32.11.61.9
GA total13132691019
GA avg1.61.61.61.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%81%88%75%
1.569%50%63%25%
2.550%25%31%13%
3.513%6%6%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets123044
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
Wins56
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-33-10-4
Biggest losses0-14-1—4-1
Goals For5334
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricEnergie CottbusMSV Duisburg
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MSV Duisburg

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.32 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Energie Cottbus = 2.11 (league 1.60), MSV Duisburg = 1.83 (league 1.40)

MSV Duisburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Energie Cottbus 0 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 3.0% 5.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 33.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1