Prva Liga — Serbia
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion u Gornjoj Varoši
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
4.06 (league 1.33) 2.64 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 13.2% 18.3%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.9%
3 - 2
4.8%
4 - 3
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
Macva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zemun 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5%
5 1.1% 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZemunMacva
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack60%73%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zemun Macva
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%67%83%75%0%50%
Draws0%33%17%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%17%

Form: Zemun: WWWDWW • Macva: LDWWDW

League goals

Metric Zemun Macva
HATHAT
GF total83118412
GF avg2.71.01.82.02.02.0
GA total404448
GA avg1.30.00.71.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZemunMacva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%100%67%
1.567%17%67%50%
2.533%0%33%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZemunMacva
HATHAT
Clean sheets033202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricZemunMacva
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricZemunMacva
Wins32
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-0—
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For3232
Goals Against2032

Model comparison

MetricZemunMacva
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Zemun or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betway
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.65 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Bwin
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zemun = 4.06 (league 1.33), Macva = 2.64 (league 0.99)

Macva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zemun 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.5%
4 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5%
5 1.1% 3.0% 3.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1