Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 •
The New Oval
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.71)
0.55 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 37.1% | 22.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Caersws | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 0% |
| Attack | 56% | 11% |
| Defense | 33% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 57% | 67% | 100% | 86% |
Form: Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDD • Caersws: LWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 100% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 29% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 43% | 0% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 43% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Holyhead Hotspur | Caersws |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Holyhead Hotspur or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Holyhead Hotspur = 0.87 (league 1.71), Caersws = 0.55 (league 1.44)
| Caersws | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 22.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1