Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • The Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.71) 0.71 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 20.2% 12.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Flint Mountain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerswsFlint Mountain
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack20%47%
Defense13%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caersws Flint Mountain
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins33%0%13%33%0%13%
Draws0%20%13%33%0%13%
Loses67%80%75%33%100%75%

Form: Caersws: LWLLLLLD • Flint Mountain: LLLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Caersws Flint Mountain
HATHAT
GF total347639
GF avg1.00.80.92.00.61.1
GA total5131861723
GA avg1.72.62.32.03.42.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerswsFlint Mountain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%63%88%
1.525%75%25%88%
2.50%50%13%63%
3.50%13%13%38%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerswsFlint Mountain
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricCaerswsFlint Mountain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCaerswsFlint Mountain
Wins10
Draws01
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-0—
Biggest losses1-34-00-25-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricCaerswsFlint Mountain
Form20%80%
Att30%70%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Flint Mountain

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.84 @ Marathonbet
Away3.39 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.59 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Superbet
No2.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caersws = 1.98 (league 1.71), Flint Mountain = 0.71 (league 1.44)

Flint Mountain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 12.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1