Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.66) 0.88 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 26.0% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Llantwit Major
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 9.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.2% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack17%50%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baglan Dragons Llantwit Major
HATHAT
Played549448
Wins20%0%11%25%0%13%
Draws60%25%44%25%50%38%
Loses20%75%44%50%50%50%

Form: Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLL • Llantwit Major: LLDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Baglan Dragons Llantwit Major
HATHAT
GF total729358
GF avg1.40.51.00.81.31.0
GA total55105712
GA avg1.01.31.11.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%63%75%
1.522%33%25%63%
2.522%11%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
Wins11
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-1—
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricBaglan DragonsLlantwit Major
Form38%63%
Att25%75%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total52.8%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.42 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baglan Dragons = 1.52 (league 1.66), Llantwit Major = 0.88 (league 1.47)

Llantwit Major
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 9.1% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 12.2% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1