Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 • Cae Baker
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.71) 1.00 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 22.4% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.6%
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Flint Mountain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 5.7% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenrhyncochFlint Mountain
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack18%18%
Defense57%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penrhyncoch Flint Mountain
HATHAT
Played4594610
Wins0%0%0%25%0%10%
Draws25%40%33%25%17%20%
Loses75%60%67%50%83%70%

Form: Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLL • Flint Mountain: LLLDLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Penrhyncoch Flint Mountain
HATHAT
GF total4596511
GF avg1.01.01.01.50.81.1
GA total7132081927
GA avg1.82.62.22.03.22.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenrhyncochFlint Mountain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%100%60%90%
1.522%67%30%90%
2.50%44%10%50%
3.50%11%10%30%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenrhyncochFlint Mountain
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricPenrhyncochFlint Mountain
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPenrhyncochFlint Mountain
Wins01
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses2-34-10-25-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricPenrhyncochFlint Mountain
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Penrhyncoch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Marathonbet
No2.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Penrhyncoch = 1.87 (league 1.71), Flint Mountain = 1.00 (league 1.44)

Flint Mountain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penrhyncoch 0 5.7% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.6% 10.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1