Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 • Park Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.71) 0.42 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 35.7% 15.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.5%
1 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberystwyth Town 0 24.5% 10.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAberystwyth TownNewport City
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack25%32%
Defense82%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aberystwyth Town Newport City
HATHAT
Played4594610
Wins50%60%56%50%33%40%
Draws50%0%22%50%33%40%
Loses0%40%22%0%33%20%

Form: Aberystwyth Town: WWDLDLWWW • Newport City: WWDDDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Aberystwyth Town Newport City
HATHAT
GF total471151217
GF avg1.01.41.21.32.01.7
GA total17831013
GA avg0.31.40.90.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAberystwyth TownNewport City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%90%80%
1.544%22%50%20%
2.511%11%30%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAberystwyth TownNewport City
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricAberystwyth TownNewport City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAberystwyth TownNewport City
Wins22
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-11-3
Biggest losses—3-1—4-3
Goals For2323
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricAberystwyth TownNewport City
Form59%41%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.8%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aberystwyth Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away1.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.18 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aberystwyth Town = 0.99 (league 1.71), Newport City = 0.42 (league 1.44)

Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberystwyth Town 0 24.5% 10.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.3% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1