Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 19:30 • Ynys Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.71) 0.89 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.8% 33.7% 34.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 17.8% 15.8% 7.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.2% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrefelinCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack58%26%
Defense100%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trefelin Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played66128513
Wins50%83%67%50%40%46%
Draws33%17%25%50%40%46%
Loses17%0%8%0%20%8%

Form: Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDWWW • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Trefelin Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total1115267815
GF avg1.82.52.20.91.61.2
GA total538347
GA avg0.80.50.70.40.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrefelinCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%77%38%
1.575%17%23%8%
2.533%8%8%8%
3.517%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrefelinCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricTrefelinCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTrefelinCarmarthen Town
Wins22
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-52-10-4
Biggest losses0-2——3-1
Goals For4524
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricTrefelinCarmarthen Town
Form59%41%
Att69%31%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals29%71%
Total48.4%51.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Trefelin or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away3.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Superbet
No2.24 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trefelin = 0.84 (league 1.71), Carmarthen Town = 0.89 (league 1.44)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trefelin 0 17.8% 15.8% 7.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.2% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1