Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio da Madeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.37) 2.01 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 18.4% 72.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 3
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional 0 8.4% 16.8% 16.9% 11.3% 5.7% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacionalFamalicao
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack43%36%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacional Famalicao
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%40%50%44%
Draws0%40%22%40%50%44%
Loses75%20%44%20%0%11%

Form: Nacional: LDLWLLWWD • Famalicao: WWDWLDDDW

League goals

Metric Nacional Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total55106410
GF avg1.31.01.11.21.01.1
GA total10313224
GA avg2.50.61.40.40.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacionalFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%33%
1.522%44%22%11%
2.511%11%11%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacionalFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets022426
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricNacionalFamalicao
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNacionalFamalicao
Wins22
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-41-01-2—
Goals For3231
Goals Against4121

Model comparison

MetricNacionalFamalicao
Form54%46%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Famalicao

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Bet365
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away2.27 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nacional = 0.47 (league 1.37), Famalicao = 2.01 (league 1.25)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional 0 8.4% 16.8% 16.9% 11.3% 5.7% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1%
2 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 72.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1