Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.43) 0.87 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 32.7% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 16.2% 14.1% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraGuimaraes
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Guimaraes
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins25%8%17%46%27%38%
Draws17%42%29%31%9%21%
Loses58%50%54%23%64%42%

Form: Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLDWLDLDLLLLLDD • Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDWLDWLLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Guimaraes
HATHAT
GF total101020181028
GF avg0.80.80.81.40.91.2
GA total141731161935
GA avg1.21.41.31.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraGuimaraes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%79%67%71%
1.521%33%38%42%
2.54%13%8%25%
3.50%4%4%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraGuimaraes
HATHAT
Clean sheets415347
Failed to score5510358

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraGuimaraes
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraGuimaraes
Wins12
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-01-43-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraGuimaraes
Form22%78%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total34.7%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guimaraes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 188Bet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 0.95 (league 1.43), Guimaraes = 0.87 (league 1.24)

Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 16.2% 14.1% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1